Long-term perspectives on world metal use - a model-based approach

2.50
Hdl Handle:
http://hdl.handle.net/10029/10070
Title:
Long-term perspectives on world metal use - a model-based approach
Authors:
Vuuren DP; Strengers BJ; Vries HJM de
Other Titles:
Lange termijn perspectieven over het metaal gebruik in de wereld - een modelmatige aanpak
Abstract:
In this report, a system dynamics model is described, which simulates long-term trends in the production and consumption of metals (i.e. iron/steel and an aggregate of metals of medium abundance) in relation to impacts such as ore-grade decline, capital and energy requirements and waste flows. This metal model can be of assistance in exploring the issue of sustainablility of metal resource use. Application of the model to historical trends shows it to be fairly capable of reproducing the long-term trends in the 1900-1990 period, among others on the basis of two intensity of use curves applied to 13 world regions. For future trends, a set of perspective-based long-term scenarios has been constructed that represent the major paradigms in resource use. These scenarios highlight some of the uncertain factors in the relation between economic growth, metal resource exploitation and use, and energy and environmental consequences. They also indicate that apparently similar metal flows in society may be the result of quite different and sometimes contrary assumptions on metal demand, production patterns and resource base characteristics. Such analyses contribute to a more open and transparent discussion on the issue at hand by adding quantitative explications to qualitative views.
Affiliation:
MNV
Publisher:
Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu RIVM
Issue Date:
1-Sep-1999
URI:
http://hdl.handle.net/10029/10070
Additional Links:
http://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/461502021.html
Language:
en
Series/Report no.:
RIVM Rapport 461502021
Appears in Collections:
RIVM reports - old archive

Full metadata record

DC FieldValue Language
dc.contributor.authorVuuren DPen_US
dc.contributor.authorStrengers BJen_US
dc.contributor.authorVries HJM deen_US
dc.date.accessioned2007-03-09T16:18:02Z-
dc.date.available2007-03-09T16:18:02Z-
dc.date.issued1999-09-01en_US
dc.identifier461502021en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10029/10070-
dc.description.abstractIn this report, a system dynamics model is described, which simulates long-term trends in the production and consumption of metals (i.e. iron/steel and an aggregate of metals of medium abundance) in relation to impacts such as ore-grade decline, capital and energy requirements and waste flows. This metal model can be of assistance in exploring the issue of sustainablility of metal resource use. Application of the model to historical trends shows it to be fairly capable of reproducing the long-term trends in the 1900-1990 period, among others on the basis of two intensity of use curves applied to 13 world regions. For future trends, a set of perspective-based long-term scenarios has been constructed that represent the major paradigms in resource use. These scenarios highlight some of the uncertain factors in the relation between economic growth, metal resource exploitation and use, and energy and environmental consequences. They also indicate that apparently similar metal flows in society may be the result of quite different and sometimes contrary assumptions on metal demand, production patterns and resource base characteristics. Such analyses contribute to a more open and transparent discussion on the issue at hand by adding quantitative explications to qualitative views.en
dc.format.extent1827000 bytesen_US
dc.format.extent1870355 bytes-
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf-
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherRijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu RIVMen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesRIVM Rapport 461502021en_US
dc.relation.urlhttp://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/461502021.htmlen_US
dc.subject.othermodellingen
dc.subject.otherproductionen
dc.subject.otherconsumptionen
dc.subject.othermetalsen
dc.subject.othersustainable developmenten
dc.subject.othermodellenonderzoeknl
dc.subject.otherproductienl
dc.subject.otherconsumptienl
dc.subject.othermetalennl
dc.subject.otherduurzame ontwikkelingnl
dc.titleLong-term perspectives on world metal use - a model-based approachen_US
dc.title.alternativeLange termijn perspectieven over het metaal gebruik in de wereld - een modelmatige aanpaken_US
dc.contributor.departmentMNVen_US
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