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    Description of selected global models for scenario studies on environmentally sustainable development

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    Authors
    Bakkes JA
    Grosskurt J
    Ienburg AM
    Rothman DS
    Vuuren DP van
    Type
    Report
    Language
    en
    
    Metadata
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    Title
    Description of selected global models for scenario studies on environmentally sustainable development
    Translated Title
    Beschrijving van enkele werelddekkende modellen voor scenariostudies naar milieu-aspecten van duurzame ontwikkeling
    Publiekssamenvatting
    Zestien werelddekkende modellen worden in dit rapport beschreven. Het rapport belicht de bruikbaarheid voor scenariostudies naar milieu-aspecten van duurzame ontwikkeling. Onder meer is gelet op verschillende vormen van integratie tussen de gemodelleerde processen. Ook is gelet op de mate waarin rekening wordt gehouden met verschillen tussen de wereldregio's. Geen enkel model blijkt ideaal. Maar een doordachte combinatie van bestaande modellen met verhalende informatie kan de basis verschaffen voor de ontwikkeling en evaluatie van mondiale scenario's.
    This report provides a survey of past and present integrated models that have been used for the generation and analysis of global scenarios. It examines the usefulness of the models for scenario studies on environmentally sustainable development. It does so by evaluating the models in terms of inter alia horizontal integration, vertical integration, and regional specificity. No single model is found to be 'ideal', but a judicious combination of currently existing models with narrative storylines can provide the basis for the development of global scenarios of environmentally sustainable development.
    Description
    Relates inter alia to the Global Environment Outlook
    Publisher
    OECD
    ICIS
    Sponsors
    DGM OECD UNEP
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10029/259853
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    RIVM official reports

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