Modelling the Impact of Different Tuberculosis Control Interventions on the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in an Overcrowded Prison.
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Authors
Naning, HerliannaAl-Darraji, Haider Abdulrazzaq Abed
Mcdonald, Scott Alex
Ismail, Noor Azina
Kamarulzaman, Adeeba
Type
ArticleLanguage
en
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Modelling the Impact of Different Tuberculosis Control Interventions on the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in an Overcrowded Prison.Published in
Asia-Pac J Public Health 2018; 1:1010539518757229Publiekssamenvatting
The aim of this study was to simulate the effects of tuberculosis (TB) treatment strategies interventions in an overcrowded and poorly ventilated prison with both high (5 months) and low (3 years) turnover of inmates against improved environmental conditions. We used a deterministic transmission model to simulate the effects of treatment of latent TB infection and active TB, or the combination of both treatment strategies. Without any intervention, the TB prevalence is estimated to increase to 8.8% for a prison with low turnover of inmates but modestly stabilize at 5.8% for high-turnover prisons in a 10-year period. Reducing overcrowding from 6 to 4 inmates per housing cell and increasing the ventilation rate from 2 to 12 air changes per hour combined with any treatment strategy would further reduce the TB prevalence to as low as 0.98% for a prison with low inmate turnover.PMID
29502429ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
10.1177/1010539518757229
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