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    Modelling the Impact of Different Tuberculosis Control Interventions on the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in an Overcrowded Prison.

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    Authors
    Naning, Herlianna
    Al-Darraji, Haider Abdulrazzaq Abed
    Mcdonald, Scott Alex
    Ismail, Noor Azina
    Kamarulzaman, Adeeba
    Type
    Article
    Language
    en
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Title
    Modelling the Impact of Different Tuberculosis Control Interventions on the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in an Overcrowded Prison.
    Published in
    Asia-Pac J Public Health 2018; 1:1010539518757229
    Publiekssamenvatting
    The aim of this study was to simulate the effects of tuberculosis (TB) treatment strategies interventions in an overcrowded and poorly ventilated prison with both high (5 months) and low (3 years) turnover of inmates against improved environmental conditions. We used a deterministic transmission model to simulate the effects of treatment of latent TB infection and active TB, or the combination of both treatment strategies. Without any intervention, the TB prevalence is estimated to increase to 8.8% for a prison with low turnover of inmates but modestly stabilize at 5.8% for high-turnover prisons in a 10-year period. Reducing overcrowding from 6 to 4 inmates per housing cell and increasing the ventilation rate from 2 to 12 air changes per hour combined with any treatment strategy would further reduce the TB prevalence to as low as 0.98% for a prison with low inmate turnover.
    DOI
    10.1177/1010539518757229
    PMID
    29502429
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10029/621604
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1177/1010539518757229
    Scopus Count
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