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    The Dutch CAFE baseline: In or out of line?

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    Authors
    Jimmink BA
    Folkert RJM
    Thomas R
    Beck JP
    Eerdt MM van
    Elzenga HE
    Hoek KW van der
    Hoen A
    Peek CJ
    Series/Report no.
    RIVM Rapport 500034001
    Type
    Report
    Language
    en
    
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    Title
    The Dutch CAFE baseline: In or out of line?
    Translated Title
    Beoordeling van het CAFE scenario in RAINS
    Publiekssamenvatting
    The European Commission is constructing a strategy on air pollution within the Clean Air For Europe (CAFE) programme. This strategy will be based on assessments using the RAINS model for different policy ambitions where the CAFE baseline scenario and control strategies are employed. The Netherlands Environment Assessment Agency verified the data in RAINS and the CAFE baseline. In this verification the CAFE baseline was shown to be unsuitable for determining the Dutch position in negotiations for new European air pollution policy (like the NEC review). The Netherlands will have to introduce a national scenario of its own to bring forward the Dutch expectations on future developments. While the RAINS model would seem appropriate for calculating abatement scenarios, contra-expertise will still be necessary during the CAFE process to assess differences in RAINS on calculated abatement costs and emission levels.
    De Europese Commissie zet een strategie op voor de aanpak van luchtverontreiniging in het Clean Air for Europe (CAFE) programma. De strategie wordt gebaseerd op beoordelingen met het RAINS model van verschillende beleidsambities met het CAFE scenario en bestrijdingsstrategieen. Het Milieu- en Natuurplanbureau van het RIVM heeft de juistheid van gegevens in RAINS en het CAFE scenario gecontroleerd. Uit deze controle bleek dat voor de positiebepaling van Nederland in onderhandelingen over nieuw Europees luchtverontreinigingsbeleid het CAFE scenario niet volstaat. Er is een eigen nationaal scenario nodig om de Nederlandse toekomstverwachtingen goed in te brengen. Het RAINS model lijkt geschikt om beleidsscenario's uit te rekenen, maar contra expertise blijft nodig voor de beoordeling van verschillen in RAINS op berekende kosten en emissieniveaus in beleidsscenario's.
    Publisher
    Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu RIVM
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/10029/8956
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